Friday, July 24, 2020

Can Vietnam leverage its COVID-19 success for economic growth?

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Inshiya Nalawala

Article Title

Can Vietnam leverage its COVID-19 success for economic growth?

Publisher

Global Views 360

Publication Date

July 24, 2020

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A policeman helping a rider fix their mask

A policeman helping a rider fix their mask | Source: Đài Truyền Thanh TPST via Wikimedia

While the entire world is battling with COVID-19, Vietnam, in a country of over 100 million recorded just 330 cases as of early June 2020 and zero death in May 2020.

A professor at Nagasaki University’s Institute of Tropical Medicine Vietnam Research Station said that "Vietnam has no special test kits or drugs to treat the disease, but the government decided to do what it had to do at an early stage and put that plan straight into practice."

Vietnam was quick in its action. As soon as the first case was confirmed, the government had called upon measures for serious quarantine, implemented strict border control measures, and curbed unnecessary local movement. Close to a million people were isolated to halt the spread of further infections.

The strict measures helped Vietnam to quickly control the COVID situation and put the focus back on the economy. The mainstay of Vietnam's economy, garment export and tourism witnessed steep fall resulting in loss of employment to over 3.5 million people in the first half of 2020. Still Vietnam’s economy has expanded by 0.36% over last year in the same period unlike other countries in the region where it contracted as compared to last year. The annual GDP growth for Vietnam in 2020 is expected to be around 2.7% to 3% which again is the best in the region.

Vietnam , today is the safest country in the region to travel, work, or stay amidst the worldwide COVID pandemic. It is being favourably considered as an alternative destination by many companies who are looking to cut down their reliance on China in their supply chain.  The Free Trade Agreement (FTA) between the European Union and Vietnam which will be operational in August, may help Vietnam grow its exports.

Apart from export led growth, the tourism sector may also grow significantly as the other major tourist destinations in the region, Singapore and Thailand, are still battling with the pandemic, while Vietnam has successfully overcome the same.

The government is also looking to support the local business by slashing the corporate income tax to 30 percent which increased the liquidity for some sectors of economy. Special tax benefits and deferred tax payments(in some cases) are also in  line for small and medium enterprises (SMEs) which constitutes almost 97% of all the businesses in Vietnam. All these measures are expected to lead to a 7% GDP growth for Vietnam in 2021.

The miraculous recovery from the pandemic, government incentives to industry, and the willingness of many companies to relocate from China present such a perfect mix of opportunities for Vietnam to leap ahead and become the fastest-growing economies in SouthAsia. What remains is to see how fast and how effectively the country is able to act while this window of opportunity is open.

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February 4, 2021 4:48 PM

Kenyans turning to mobile loans in times of COVID-19

The economic impact of COVID-19 is felt on the personal finance of people across the world who are looking for ways to tide over the situation. In Kenya, people are lapping the short-term credit in the form of digital loans by mobile money operators. The number of people taking digital loans has doubled during the COVId-19 induced lockdown period.

Boston Consulting Group's Consumer Sentiments Survey conducted in April and May 2020 reported that "In May, 29 percent responded that they had taken out a short-term loan, compared to 16 percent in April. Mobile money operators were the most common sources of this credit”

Kenya is a pioneer in using mobile money transfer services as the key tool for providing financial inclusion to its citizens. A simple money transfer service, M-PESA launched in 2007 has transformed the financial service industry in Kenya. Today mobile money operators are providing multiple services like digital loans, marketplace for small businesses and farmers.

Digital loans are easy to process and disbursed but there are concerns of shaming the defaulters and compromising the data security of clients. The Digital Lenders Association of Kenya (DLAK) which is a body representing the digital lenders of Kenya has distanced from two of their members, Okash and Opesa over unethical practices. These mobile apps have shared the details of defaulting customers with the moneylenders and asking them to recover the money.

DLAK also stated that Opesa and Okash are known for attacking a client's data privacy which is against the Kenyan data protection laws and has additionally spoiled the reputation of digital leaders in Kenya.

In April 2020, Central Bank of Kenya barred unregulated digital mobile lenders from forwarding the names of loan defaulters to credit reference bureaus. A huge number of Kenyans have been recorded on Credit Reference Bureaus by digital money lenders for loans as little as $5.

Central Bank of Kenya governor Patrick Njoroge told during a press conference in May 2020 that the central bank in consultation with the mobile money operators and digital lenders is presently working to develop a model where the borrowers are protected from mistreatment of online moneylenders.

The borrowers are looking up to the regulatory authorities and the industry bodies to come up with a mechanism which will protect their interest in times of such a health and economic emergency.

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